Why shouldn’t the West take on Russia just now, given that China already declared neutrality on this matter? It’s US, UK, France, Germany and Japan attacking Russia from both sides, a sure victory apparently. Is Ukraine so out of love with the West? Is Russia so poor and nuke-ready today? No, Russia will not easily nuke the West just like that. They have their bottom line, obviously, but their bottom line is definitely not as high as the West might expect. Well, say, the West is playing safe only, so why did Obama yell so loudly at the UN assembly that the world must unite together against Russia? US is the most powerful nation in the world, both militarily and economically, so he declared to the world. What’s the matter then? Playing safe is always good. The question is, how safe? That’s why we must ask if Alaska is small enough for US to lose. I definitely believe so. In fact, Alaska is probably a piece of cake for Russia, if the attack is planned carefully and US is caught by surprise. You don’t have to worry about a nuclear war, because US is not ready to lose it all for Alaska, nor is Russia.
Now, why shouldn’t Russia simply devour China just now? Will the West bother to save China? Well, Russia is too concentrated and hence too vulnerable to nuclear strikes. That’s why Russia refused to reduce its nuclear missiles to below 1,500 back then. They had to guarantee complete mutual annihilation by keeping the number high enough. Russia was stupid enough to sell Alaska to US. So, US figured that they may also be dumb enough to cut their nuclear missiles below that critical number. Taking over China is too complicated, so it’s better to simply nuke it all, if so deemed necessary. China is quite rich now and not so ready to die. Things get a little more complicated. There are quite a lot of factors to consider. So, why should China be so obliged to join Russia? Hey, it’s Japan! Why not? Plus, if Russia loses badly too fast on the western front, they may need a southern base for supply. China is not ready to defend its western territory. It’s better for China to simply work with Russia. I know China is smart enough to not invest too much in their west, given that they can’t defend it anyway, but if the Communist Party of China dares to lose its west completely, a revolution is nigh. That’s how it worked in 1911 for the Nationalists. I don’t want to go into the details, but the Communist Party of China definitely doesn’t have a choice. That makes a Russian invasion more real on the Pacific front.
Of course, there’s a very real possibility that China dare not join Russia, going against the West directly, though they are much more ready to defend their eastern front. It’s very hard to tell. This is why Putin will not want to attack Hokkaido or Alaska unless he thinks Russia is ready to fight both sides simultaneously, where Germany failed in World War II. Well, Russia is not Germany, but they probably won’t take that kind of risk. That’s why whenever Russia is trying to be good, we should simply support them. Why hold any grudge at all? Is US Germany today that they must hate a nation smarter than they? Why hate, if you think you are a winner? Is it because deep down you still think you are a loser? Shake hands and say hello. Be a real leader! Is that too hard?